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PLOS Medicine

95 training papers 2019-06-25 – 2026-03-07

Top medRxiv preprints most likely to be published in this journal, ranked by match strength.

1
Trends in Cardiometabolic Disease and Health-Related Quality of Life in the United States, 2001-2022
2026-02-23 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.20.26346754
#1 (9.0%)
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ObjectivesTo examine associations between cardiometabolic conditions and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) and to evaluate whether condition-associated HRQoL changed from 2001 to 2022. MethodsWe analyzed nationally representative data from U.S. adults aged [≥]18 years in the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, 2001-2022. Survey years without BMI data (2017, 2019, 2021) were excluded. EQ-5D utilities were mapped from SF-12 scores using a validated algorithm. For each survey year, survey-we...

2
Associations of Metabolic Vulnerability Index with Cardiometabolic Diseases, Multimorbidity, and All-cause Mortality
2026-02-11 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.02.09.26345939
#1 (8.5%)
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BackgroundMetabolic vulnerability index (MVX), a novel biomarker of systemic inflammation and metabolic malnutrition, is associated with mortality in patients with cardiovascular diseases. Nevertheless, little is known about its association with cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) and multimorbidity (CMM). We aimed to examine the associations of MVX with the risk of individual CMDs, their progression to CMM, and all-cause mortality in the general population. MethodsIn a prospective cohort of 218,63...

3
Acetate, a fibre-derived gut metabolite, and modification of hormone-related cardiovascular risk in females
2026-02-12 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.02.10.26346040
Top 0.1% (7.5%)
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BackgroundSex hormone alterations, such as estrogen deficiency or testosterone excess, substantially increase cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in females. Dietary fibre and its microbial by-products, short-chain fatty acids (SCFAs), have cardioprotective effects, but it remains unclear whether these benefits extend to females with an altered sex hormone profile. In this study, we aim to investigate whether dietary fibre intake, measured via plasma acetate--the most abundant SCFA--is associated ...

4
Cost-effectiveness of High-Dose Influenza Vaccination in the Netherlands: Updated Analysis Incorporating New Evidence
2026-02-18 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.17.26346451
Top 0.2% (7.0%)
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BackgroundHigh-dose inactivated influenza vaccination (HD-IIV) demonstrates superior effectiveness versus standard-dose vaccination (SD-IIV) in adults aged [≥]60 years. A recent meta-analysis integrated complementary evidence sources of representing over 85 million individuals across 14 influenza seasons. MethodsA previously developed model was updated using life-time horizon and societal perspective. Updated parameters included demographics, costs, hospitalization rates, and relative vaccin...

5
Potential public health and economic impact of the next-generation COVID-19 vaccine mRNA-1283 in the Netherlands
2026-02-19 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.18.26346561
Top 0.3% (6.2%)
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COVID-19 remains a substantial public health challenge in the Netherlands. Next-generation COVID-19 vaccine, mRNA-1283, is approved in the European Union, with potential for higher relative vaccine efficacy compared with originally-licensed COVID-19 vaccines. Its potential public health and economic impact, in adults [≥]60 years and high-risk 18-59 years, was modelled versus no vaccination and originally-licensed mRNA-1273 and BNT162b2, adapting a published static Markov model with 1-year tim...

6
Global pricing of AWaRe (Access, Watch, Reserve) antibiotics: implications of the UNGA-AMR 70% Access target on national pharmaceutical expenditure
2026-02-14 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.12.26346187
Top 0.3% (6.1%)
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BackgroundThe United Nations General Assembly High-level Meeting on Antimicrobial Resistance (UNGA HLM-AMR) committed to a target that 70% of global human antibiotic use (ABU) should be from the Access group of the WHO AWaRe system. MethodsWe used 2019 IQVIA MIDAS(R) global ABU Quarterly value sales, volumes (kg/SU) and average ex-manufacturer prices to evaluate price per daily defined dose (DDD) by AWaRe group across countries. IQVIA MIDAS volumes/value data reflect public, private, or mixed s...

7
Early health technology assessment of digital diabetes screening in Switzerland: cost-effectiveness and budget impact analyses
2026-02-11 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.10.26345992
Top 0.3% (6.1%)
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ObjectivesDigital biomarkers offer scalable screening for type 2 diabetes, yet adoption is stalled by uncertainty regarding economic viability. This study evaluates the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of digital screening compared to opportunistic screening from a Swiss payer perspective. MethodsA probabilistic Markov cohort model was developed to simulate at-risk Swiss adults (age [≥]45, BMI [≥]25 kg/m{superscript 2}) over a 40-year horizon. The model incorporates a digital attritio...

8
Leisure-time physical activity on lifelong trajectories of body mass index and obesity risk throughout life: multivariable regression and Mendelian randomization analyses using real-world data from the CORDELIA-Catalunya Study
2026-02-25 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.23.26346892
Top 0.3% (6.1%)
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BackgroundEvidence on how leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) improves lifetime body mass index (BMI) remains fragmented and prone to confounding. MethodsWe pooled 14,993 adults (30-90 y; 52.7% women; cohorts: REGICOR-ACRISC, ILERVAS, ARTPER) with baseline estimated LTPA (moderate-to-vigorous LTPA [MVLTPA] in REGICOR-ACRISC), genotype, and repeated BMI values from electronic health records (1990-2024, 36,157 measures). LTPA was categorized into cohort-specific quartiles; MVLTPA in 0, <100, <2...

9
Associations Between Prenatal Cannabis Exposure and Birth Outcomes: Results from a Prospective Cohort Study
2026-03-03 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.03.01.26347369
Top 0.3% (6.0%)
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ABSTRACT/SUMMARYO_ST_ABSObjectiveC_ST_ABSCannabis use during pregnancy is increasing; associations with neonatal growth may be confounded by nicotine. We evaluated prenatal cannabis exposure (PreCE) and neonatal outcomes in a prospective cohort with biochemical control for nicotine exposure. MethodsIn the Cannabis Use During Early Life and Development (CUDDEL) study, pregnant women with a lifetime history of cannabis use were classified as PreCE if they self-reported use or had urine THC-COOH p...

10
Economic Evaluation of Mindfulness-Oriented Recovery Enhancement for the Treatment of Opioid Misuse
2026-02-26 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.23.26346912
Top 0.4% (5.9%)
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OBJECTIVEOpioid misuse exacts a tremendous toll on society. Mindfulness-Oriented Recovery Enhancement (MORE) is an efficacious treatment for opioid misuse. Yet, the cost-effectiveness of this intervention remains unknown. METHODSCost-effectiveness and cost-benefit analyses of a randomized clinical trial with enrollment of 250 adults with chronic pain prescribed long-term opioid therapy who were misusing opioids. Participants were randomized to MORE (training in mindfulness, reappraisal, and sav...

11
Economic burden of cancer and cardiovascular disease mortality among working-age Europeans: A lifecycle modelling study
2026-02-24 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.13.26346233
Top 0.4% (5.8%)
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ObjectivesNon-communicable diseases (NCDs) account for almost 90% of deaths in Europe, yet comparative estimates of the productivity costs associated with premature NCD mortality across diseases and countries remain limited. This study estimates and compares productivity losses attributable to cardiovascular disease (CVD) and cancer mortality among working-age populations across Europe. Population-based data were used to estimate productivity costs for CVD and cancer deaths across 30 European co...

12
Utility of glucose, lipid and kidney function Trajectory Measures for incident Cardiovascular Disease risk prediction for people living with Type 2 Diabetes: a case-study using Danish registry data
2026-03-06 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.03.06.26347493
Top 0.5% (5.7%)
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Abstract Introduction Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is an important complication of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Current incident CVD-prediction models use single baseline measurements and achieve moderate performance in people with T2D, with C-indices around 0.7. Modern healthcare registries contain repeated measurements of HbA1c, LDL-cholesterol and eGFR, which could carry incremental predictive value. However, the added value of trajectory measures for CVD-risk prediction remains unclear. We aimed t...

13
A cost-effectiveness analysis of increased quadruple therapy use in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction in Singapore
2026-02-12 health economics 10.64898/2026.02.10.26346043
Top 0.6% (5.5%)
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BackgroundQuadruple therapy, comprising an angiotensin receptor-neprilysin inhibitor (ARNI), {beta}-blocker, mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist (MRA), and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitor (SGLT2i), is guideline-recommended for heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). However, uptake in Singapore remains low. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of scaling up quadruple therapy from the current 30% uptake to realistic (80%) and stretch (100%) targets. MethodsWe deve...

14
Secondary Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients with Overweight/Obesity in Routine Clinical Practice
2026-02-20 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.18.26346594
Top 0.6% (5.3%)
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Background and AimsThe glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1 RA) semaglutide has demonstrated efficacy for the secondary prevention of cardiovascular disease among patients with overweight/obesity without diabetes mellitus. However, the comparative effectiveness of GLP-1 RA versus other antiobesity medications (e.g. phentermine-topiramate) not been evaluated. MethodsThis was a retrospective, observational, cohort study using target trial emulation methodology using the Truveta electro...

15
Associations of alcohol use in early and middle adulthood with mid- and late-life cognition - a synthetic cohort approach
2026-03-04 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.27.26346914
Top 0.8% (5.0%)
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OBJECTIVEUsing two cohorts and synthetic datasets, we estimated effects of prospectively reported alcohol use on memory outcomes across middle age. METHODSData were from National Longitudinal Study of Youth 1979 (NLSY79, n=7540, alcohol reports from ages 18-26), Health and Retirement Study (HRS age 50-56 at enrollment, n=13,090), and a synthetic cohort matching early life exposure information from 3,259 NLSY79 participants to later life memory information from 5,451 HRS participants. Covariate-...

16
The Hidden Burden of Mortality Across the Spectrum of ICD-10 Conditions in Australia: A Multiple Cause of Death Analysis
2026-02-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.07.26345820
Top 0.8% (4.8%)
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BackgroundDeath certificates record both an underlying cause and contributing conditions, yet mortality statistics predominantly report only the underlying cause. We quantify this "hidden burden" across all ICD-10 conditions in Australian mortality data using the multiple-to-underlying ratio (MUR): total death certificate mentions divided by underlying cause deaths. MethodsWe analysed Australian Bureau of Statistics Causes of Death 2023 data (N = 187,268 registered deaths) to compute the ratio ...

17
Effectiveness of an automated text message intervention for weight management in postpartum women with overweight or obesity (Supporting MumS (SMS)): a UK wide, multicentre, two arm, parallel group, randomised controlled trial.
2026-03-06 public and global health 10.64898/2026.03.05.26347713
Top 1% (4.5%)
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Objective To test the effectiveness of a postpartum behavioural intervention delivered by automated text messaging in reducing weight. Design Two parallel group, multicentre, randomised controlled trial. Setting Recruitment from five areas across the United Kingdom (Belfast, Bradford, Stirling, London and Cardiff) through healthcare and community pathways, including social media. Participants A diverse sample of 892 women between 6 weeks and 24 months postpartum, aged 18 years or more and with a...

18
The longitudinal care cascade for hypertension: a clinic-based study of people with and without HIV in South Africa
2026-02-17 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.02.11.26346061
Top 1% (4.2%)
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BackgroundHypertension (HTN) constitutes a major and growing public health challenge in South Africa, a setting where HIV prevalence also remains high. Despite this dual burden, longitudinal evidence describing how individuals move through the HTN care cascade particularly comparing people living with HIV (PLHIV) and people not living with HIV (PNLHIV) remains limited. Understanding patterns of progression and regression across the cascade is essential to inform health system strategies for inte...

19
Progressively Widening Healthcare Costs in Long COVID Over Five Years
2026-02-26 public and global health 10.64898/2026.02.24.26346985
Top 1% (4.1%)
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BackgroundLong COVID affects millions worldwide, yet the long-term trajectory of healthcare costs remains poorly characterized. Prior studies with limited follow-up have documented elevated but stable excess costs, leaving uncertainty about whether the economic burden attenuates or persists over time. MethodsWe conducted a retrospective cohort study using electronic health record data from 12 hospitals and 20 community health centers (January 2018 through December 2024). Adults with documented ...

20
Sexual orientation inequalities in self-harm and suicidality in England and Wales - A national population-based study
2026-02-17 public and global health 10.64898/2026.02.12.26346182
Top 1% (4.0%)
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BackgroundSexual minority (SM) individuals have worse mental health than heterosexual peers. However, there is no total population-based and national-level evidence on differences in risk of self-harm and suicide by sexual orientation. This study provides the first national population-based estimates in England and Wales. MethodsUsing 2021 Census data linked with hospital records and death registrations, we analysed sexual orientation (SO) differences in: (i) at least one hospital inpatient adm...